Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Utica Shale Selected Gas Production Decline Curves 2014 to 2016


Production decline curves in the Utica Shale are impacted by a number of variables. In the first place, there is a natural decline over time, gas and liquids are finite and production inevitably declines. Fracking  impermeable rock generates a flow path for trapped hydrocarbons and initial production can be quite large, though decline is inevitable as fractures and proppant no longer sustain flow and reservoir rock releases what it can. Unlike traditional wells where relatively porous and permeable rock is highly prized for it natural ability to permit hydrocarbons to enter the well bore and move to the surface, unconventional wells require coaxing via fracking. The fracking creates finite induced pathways for hydrocarbons to enter the wellbore and move up to the surface.

Choke valve adjustment
All wells use a choke valve which gives the operator control over how quickly hydrocarbons are allowed to escape out of the wellbore. Chokes valves are adjusted for a number of reasons and subject to experimentation and testing to optimize results. Reasons for choke adjustment could include: limiting choke in an attempt to maximize long term total production and flattening decline curves (experimental and based on learning and history), or maximizing or minimizing choke for other economic reasons. Maximizing choke might be done to make quick cash or take advantage what is viewed as temporary economically favorable condition, or a simple need for cash flow to keep a company afloat in this environment. Minimizing choke might be done to sustain wells to a time when prices will be more advantageous, for the same reason why wells are drilled but not completed. It all comes down to economics.

Decline samples and analysis - Monroe and Belmont county
Below is a chart of ten different wells and decline rates over time. In each case, each set of five wells (top 5 set and bottom 5 set) were the maximum gas producers in one of the quarterly production reports. While the lower five wells on the graph decline significantly, choke adjustment appears to have been made to smooth out what might have been a steeper decline, perhaps maximizing total production or attempting to flatten and sustain a level of cash flow for stability. In contrast, three out of five of the wells in the top part of the graph saw much higher and sustained initial production but then declined more sharply.

Selected Utica Shale Gas Production Decline Curves. Data comes from the ODNR quarterly production reports. During their early production months, each set of five wells (Top vs Bottom) were top five in production for a quarter. Not that the RICE-BELMONT-GOLD DIGGER 1H well is nearly on top of its nearby 3H counterpart, where production diverged very little and only visibly here near the end of the Q2 2016 where the white line emerges behind the overlap.

Additional factors impacted production decline rates
A variety of additional factors also impact decline rates, ranging from the type and grade of proppant used, number of fracking stages, type of fracking fluid, contact with the most productive zones, and more.

Sunday, September 18, 2016

Utica Shale Production, Q2, 2016, 25,000 bbl + Wells

The recent Q2 2016 report from the Ohio Department of Natural Resources showed 29 wells topping 25,000 bbl for the quarter. Harrison led the group with 12 wells topping the figure, followed by Guernsey with 10 wells, Carroll with 4 wells, and Noble with 3 wells topping 25,000 bbl.

Map of Utica Shale wells with 25,000 + bbl of oil production in Q2 2016
ZOOM, PAN, and CLICK to view Q2 2016 data for any well.  A more complete map of all wells and Utica Shale production for the quarter (minus several with no Lat/Long data can be found here).


Utica Shale Production, Q2, 2016, 1,000,000 Mcf+ Wells

According to the recent Q2 2016 report from the ODNR, 48 Utica Shale wells saw natural gas production top 1,000,000 Mcf in Q2 2016. Belmont county led with 32 wells topping 1,000,000 Mcf, followed by Monroe with 15 wells, and Harrison with 1.

Map below, shows wells with 1,000,000 Mcf gas production or more in Q2, 2016. 
ZOOM, PAN, and CLICK to view Q2 2016 data for any well.  A more complete map of all wells and Utica Shale production for the quarter (minus several with no Lat/Long data can be found here).

 

Map of Wells with 1,000,000 Mcf+ Gas Production in the Quarter


Ohio Utica Shale Map: September 10, 2016 - Who is Drilling Where

As of the September 10, 2016 report from the Ohio Department of Natural Resources, 114 wells are classified as currently drilling in Ohio's Utica Shale.


Most active counties with wells drilling

Monroe County leads activity with 32 wells classified as drilling in the Ohio Utica Shale, followed by Belmont (21)
Jefferson and Noble (16)
Harrison (10)
Guernsey (9)
Carroll (7)
Portage, Trumbull and Tuscarawas with (1)

Most active operators drilling
Ascent Resources leads all operators with 26 wells classified as currently drilling, followed by
Gulfport Energy (20)
Antero Resources (16)

Chesapeake (16) 
Eclipse Resources (15)
CNX Gas (6)Statoil (4)
PDC Energy (3)
Carrizo (2)
XTO Energy (2)
Halcon, Mountaineer Keystone, Rex Energy, Triad Hunter (1)

Map of wells classified as drilling as of September 10, 2016
White square is surface location, with connection lines to bottom hole locations.
Click on symbols or lines for data (operator, etc). Zoom
and Pan for more detail.

Sunday, April 3, 2016

Ohio Utica Shale Map: March 26, 2016 - Who is Drilling Where

As of the March 26, 2016 report from the Ohio Department of Natural Resources, 121 wells are classified as currently drilling in Ohio's Utica Shale.

Most active counties with wells drilling 
Belmont  and Monroe Counties lead, each with 29 wells drilling, followed by Noble (16), Guernsey (15), Harrison (12), Carroll (8), Jefferson (8), and Portage, Trumbull, Tuscarawas and Washington with 1 each.

Most active operators drilling
Ascent Resources leads all operators with 30 wells classified as currently drilling, followed by
Gulfport Energy (21), Antero Resources (17), Eclipse Resources (11), Chesapeake (9), Carrizo (6), PDC Energy (6), XTO Energy (5), CNX Gas (4) Statoil (3), EM Energy (2), EQT (1), Halcon (1), HESS (1), Mountaineer Keystone (1), Rex Energy (1), Rice Drilling (1), Triad Hunter (1)

Map of wells classified as drilling as of March 26, 2016 (Source, March 22, 2016 OH DNR data)
White square is surface location, with connection lines to bottom hole locations.
Click on symbols or lines for data (operator, etc). Zoom or Pan for more detail.


Friday, December 25, 2015

Ohio Utica Shale Map: December 19, 2015 - Who is Drilling Where

As of the December 19, 2015 report from the Ohio Department of Natural Resources, 156 wells are classified as currently drilling in Ohio's Utica Shale.

Most active counties with wells drilling
Belmont County leads with  42 wells drilling, followed by Monroe (32), Noble (21), Harrison (20), Guernsey (19), Carroll (10), Jefferson (9), and Portage, Trumbull, and Tuscarawas with 1 each.

Most active operators drilling
Ascent Resources leads all operators with 44 wells classified as currently drilling, followed by
Antero Resources (24), Eclipse Resources (16), Chesapeake (14), Gulfport Energy (14), Rice Drilling (8), XTO Energy (8), Carrizo (6), CNX Gas (5), PDC Energy (4), Hess (3), Triad Hunter (3), EQT (1), Halcon (1), and Mountaineer Keystone (1).

Map of wells classified as drilling as of December 19, 2015